TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof EDward Gaming, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,088 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked EDward Gaming57c9,146$5,213 inLost-$5,213.4578162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming43c9,111$3,918 inWon+$5,193.2724145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked EDward Gaming1c4,193$42 inLost-$41.9312155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked EDward Gaming17c3,433$583 inLost-$583.1128541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed EDward Gaming36c909.72$325 inLost-$3256637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked EDward Gaming17c778.95$129 inLost-$128.641,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked EDward Gaming19c568.87$109 inLost-$108.71,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed EDward Gaming5c500$25 inLost-$2560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked EDward Gaming18c466$82 inLost-$81.91,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed XLG Gaming78c382.94$300 inWon+$82.942166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed XLG Gaming65c250$163 inWon+$87.545250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked EDward Gaming55c226.79$124 inLost-$123.8718457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked EDward Gaming14c125$18 inLost-$17.57047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed EDward Gaming17c109$19 inLost-$19.0557517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x40e3…f756backed EDward Gaming41c101.52$42 inLost-$423441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed XLG Gaming61c98.41$60 inWon+$38.4134253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EDward Gaming30c79.36$24 inLost-$24.011,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed EDward Gaming22c72.65$16 inLost-$16.071,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed EDward Gaming22c70$15 inLost-$15.45442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed XLG Gaming51c59.05$30 inWon+$28.9122542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed XLG Gaming58c55.16$32 inWon+$23.173345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked EDward Gaming62c50.05$31 inLost-$30.8842051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed XLG Gaming38c40.05$15 inWon+$24.8363447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed EDward Gaming43c30$13 inLost-$12.918948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a0…4d91backed XLG Gaming68c24$16 inWon+$7.681770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.