TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,118 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd888…3c9fbacked EDward Gaming73c38,471$28,176 inWon+$10,295.0712155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming43c16,705$7,175 inLost-$7,175.1224145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming5c6,475$328 inLost-$328.341,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed XLG Gaming17c5,240$883 inLost-$882.648444%37 W · 47 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed XLG Gaming34c3,000$1,020 inLost-$1,02028548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked XLG Gaming40c2,734$1,102 inLost-$1,1026063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming18c2,022$358 inLost-$357.91,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming16c1,371$217 inLost-$216.831,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked EDward Gaming64c804.61$513 inWon+$291.3788844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked XLG Gaming42c771.95$324 inLost-$32410346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6a…4d82backed XLG Gaming30c500$150 inLost-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming14c272$39 inLost-$39.361,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked EDward Gaming74c216.92$161 inWon+$55.732352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed EDward Gaming64c213.09$136 inWon+$76.8612656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed EDward Gaming60c200$120 inWon+$8022449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed EDward Gaming80c200$160 inWon+$4014661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed XLG Gaming16c197.99$32 inLost-$31.6845250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed XLG Gaming15c150$23 inLost-$22.8851749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked EDward Gaming63c142.86$90 inWon+$52.8618457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed XLG Gaming21c98.92$21 inLost-$20.8857517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed EDward Gaming57c95.23$54 inWon+$40.951,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming30c88$26 inLost-$26.41,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked EDward Gaming58c88$51 inWon+$36.963357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed XLG Gaming19c70$14 inLost-$13.535442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked XLG Gaming36c55.56$20 inLost-$207047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed XLG Gaming21c53$11 inLost-$11.0577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed XLG Gaming42c50.12$21 inLost-$21.0525660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82a6…0a68backed XLG Gaming43c46.76$20 inLost-$20875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked EDward Gaming57c35.96$20 inWon+$15.4678162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked XLG Gaming37c31.39$12 inLost-$11.7312159.5%72 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6161…c834backed EDward Gaming59c27.6$16 inWon+$11.321353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba2…97c1backed EDward Gaming61c24.33$15 inWon+$9.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.