TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof EDward Gaming, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,693 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming50c16,009$7,929 inWon+$8,080.3724145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked EDward Gaming52c14,191$7,447 inLost-$7,446.7712155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed EDward Gaming14c2,463$333 inLost-$332.6560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked XLG Gaming44c2,024$898 inWon+$1,125.823873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3072…4ca9backed EDward Gaming51c1,502$766 inLost-$766.151566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed XLG Gaming50c1,080$540 inWon+$539.3610956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked EDward Gaming56c1,049$592 inLost-$59224457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed EDward Gaming62c1,015$633 inLost-$632.521346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed EDward Gaming50c1,000$500 inLost-$5006339.7%25 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked EDward Gaming51c753.47$386 inLost-$385.921,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked XLG Gaming44c600$264 inWon+$33612948.1%62 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6a…4d82backed EDward Gaming70c500$350 inLost-$35030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed XLG Gaming41c493.73$200 inWon+$293.734564.4%29 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked EDward Gaming51c378$193 inLost-$192.786150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed EDward Gaming74c362.91$267 inLost-$267.15655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed EDward Gaming51c313.73$160 inLost-$16010242.2%43 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked EDward Gaming55c270.44$148 inLost-$1481,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed XLG Gaming30c266.67$80 inWon+$186.672927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed XLG Gaming37c250$93 inWon+$157.545250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed XLG Gaming39c243.59$95 inWon+$148.5934253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming48c233.59$112 inWon+$121.2112656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EDward Gaming56c225.96$126 inLost-$125.61,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked XLG Gaming46c215.33$100 inWon+$115.3318457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked EDward Gaming61c211.22$128 inLost-$12818261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed EDward Gaming18c189.69$35 inLost-$351,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked EDward Gaming75c133.33$100 inLost-$1006063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed XLG Gaming51c133.29$68 inWon+$65.7627956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed XLG Gaming48c90$43 inWon+$46.827847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked XLG Gaming42c59.52$25 inWon+$34.527047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed EDward Gaming54c57.09$31 inLost-$30.839953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed XLG Gaming47c56.04$26 inWon+$29.732152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed XLG Gaming35c52.88$19 inWon+$34.1457517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed XLG Gaming48c48.03$23 inWon+$24.9825660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21e0…369dbacked XLG Gaming36c41.74$15 inWon+$26.741435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming42c40.67$17 inWon+$23.591,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4967…340bbacked EDward Gaming37c40.54$15 inLost-$157064.3%45 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked XLG Gaming48c38.76$19 inWon+$20.073360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed EDward Gaming71c19.14$14 inLost-$13.594755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.