Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3730570dd02b5d90d45350015ca93cbe65177f66aab4515f44e244367c54008d

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: SaD Esportsof SaD Esports, FlyQuest
Resolved: May 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,506 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed SaD Esports	40c	30,179$12,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,067.79	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FlyQuest	60c	24,667$14,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,800.16	190	46.3%88 W · 102 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked SaD Esports	48c	5,740$2,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,961.36	179	48.6%87 W · 92 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked FlyQuest	50c	2,713$1,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,366.68	145	33.8%49 W · 96 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FlyQuest	52c	1,737$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.94	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed SaD Esports	40c	1,608$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.76	231	51.9%120 W · 111 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed FlyQuest	63c	1,224$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-6.2wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed FlyQuest	53c	786.82$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.94	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FlyQuest	29c	771.5$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.84	463	26.6%123 W · 340 L	-26.0wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed FlyQuest	59c	722.38$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.2	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SaD Esports	54c	686.94$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.44	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed FlyQuest	56c	655.15$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.1	255	54.9%140 W · 115 L	+13.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed FlyQuest	64c	635.06$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	85	38.8%33 W · 52 L	-11.2wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed SaD Esports	62c	622.7$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.24	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	65cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked FlyQuest	42c	589.43$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.86	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed FlyQuest	59c	566.1$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-4.1wins	-0.29per pick	43cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed FlyQuest	60c	500.1$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.06	254	53.5%136 W · 118 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed SaD Esports	56c	475.99$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.81	114	42.1%48 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed FlyQuest	49c	339.32$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.67	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed SaD Esports	40c	327.5$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.5	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FlyQuest	59c	324$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.75	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked SaD Esports	41c	322.19$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.53	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked SaD Esports	33c	316.63$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FlyQuest	47c	289$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.83	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked FlyQuest	62c	287.82$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.47	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed FlyQuest	65c	242.15$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked FlyQuest	67c	240$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.96	344	43.3%149 W · 195 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked FlyQuest	40c	235.24$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.38	211	36.5%77 W · 134 L	-15.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed SaD Esports	58c	230.71$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.9	80	62.5%50 W · 30 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed FlyQuest	60c	207.71$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.65	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-12.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked FlyQuest	60c	203.33$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked FlyQuest	45c	180.58$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.46	240	32.1%77 W · 163 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed SaD Esports	62c	169.99$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.26	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed FlyQuest	59c	169.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed FlyQuest	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed SaD Esports	33c	164$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.48	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f47…b8f2backed FlyQuest	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked FlyQuest	59c	161.02$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed FlyQuest	60c	158.67$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed FlyQuest	60c	150$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FlyQuest	60c	145.27$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.11	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed FlyQuest	60c	141.72$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.4	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed FlyQuest	47c	134.89$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.15	225	42.7%96 W · 129 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed FlyQuest	50c	131$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.72	415	37.1%154 W · 261 L	-26.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FlyQuest	47c	129.04$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.94	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FlyQuest	30c	126.41$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.47	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked SaD Esports	70c	125.61$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.24	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked FlyQuest	40c	124.08$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…dc5abacked FlyQuest	41c	104.38$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FlyQuest	47c	101.01$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.47	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked SaD Esports	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed FlyQuest	49c	95.92$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	115	64.3%74 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed SaD Esports	40c	93.88$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	189	48.7%92 W · 97 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b2…4ec3backed FlyQuest	60c	82.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked FlyQuest	59c	81.73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.22	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-3.3wins	-0.48per pick	62cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed SaD Esports	38c	80.93$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.05	106	64.2%68 W · 38 L	+10.6wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+16%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked FlyQuest	62c	78$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.36	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed FlyQuest	45c	76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.32	375	45.6%171 W · 204 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FlyQuest	60c	68.78$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.17	271	45%122 W · 149 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked SaD Esports	41c	66.36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.15	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed FlyQuest	20c	65.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	269	32.3%87 W · 182 L	-25.7wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked SaD Esports	37c	59.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.74	205	53.2%109 W · 96 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FlyQuest	51c	51.12$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.12	543	42.4%230 W · 313 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed FlyQuest	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FlyQuest	40c	47.18$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc82c…c3a0backed FlyQuest	51c	46.02$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.59	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-6.3wins	-0.22per pick	36cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked FlyQuest	33c	44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x660a…3d22backed SaD Esports	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6e…b0a3backed FlyQuest	60c	42.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed FlyQuest	43c	42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	279	47.7%133 W · 146 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b4…f4f5backed SaD Esports	42c	41.33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.05	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd156…8569backed SaD Esports	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed FlyQuest	59c	37.63$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	50	34%17 W · 33 L	-7.9wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4ba…9c9dbacked FlyQuest	60c	37.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SaD Esports	48c	34.08$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.89	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed FlyQuest	60c	30.16$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked SaD Esports	69c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.44	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c19…ea4dbacked SaD Esports	72c	28.16$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.94	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	71cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked FlyQuest	41c	26.82$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	147	29.9%44 W · 103 L	-19.2wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked FlyQuest	61c	24.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-3.0wins	-0.42per pick	56cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef2b…70efbacked FlyQuest	61c	24.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35cc…6c88backed FlyQuest	61c	24.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked FlyQuest	53c	19.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed FlyQuest	63c	16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagethis page
Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerSaD Esports won
Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerSaD Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event