Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3563c3cc368ba1996cb1197d32ee7296443050bb73bb7efb5a560e233a0479ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SaD Esportsof SaD Esports, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed FlyQuest | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed SaD Esports | 60c | 661.59$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FlyQuest | 41c | 563.9$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.82 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FlyQuest | 10c | 383.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed FlyQuest | 38c | 322.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked FlyQuest | 8c | 273.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed SaD Esports | 64c | 222.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SaD Esports | 64c | 164.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FlyQuest | 26c | 99.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed SaD Esports | 62c | 90.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked FlyQuest | 18c | 80.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SaD Esports | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FlyQuest | 33c | 79.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FlyQuest | 34c | 75.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked FlyQuest | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed SaD Esports | 64c | 28.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageSaD Esports won
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerSaD Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.