TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Omegaof ALGO Esports, Omega
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4713…4d21backed Omega54c16,815$9,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,692.935,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked ALGO Esports31c16,352$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed ALGO Esports61c13,091$8,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,023.9628960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Omega45c12,865$5,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,114.655,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked ALGO Esports63c10,283$6,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,512.6292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Omega41c9,922$4,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,82966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked ALGO Esports50c9,169$4,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,58123249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Omega56c6,802$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.133,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Omega51c6,693$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.342,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Omega60c6,625$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.3778043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Omega53c6,591$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.152,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Omega45c6,575$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.972,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed ALGO Esports59c5,400$3,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,184.1664058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed ALGO Esports45c5,073$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28311365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked ALGO Esports58c3,878$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.346243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Omega53c3,601$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.841,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed ALGO Esports23c2,992$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.4224746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Omega54c2,850$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.6366446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked ALGO Esports53c2,794$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.8235947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed ALGO Esports58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45014051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7f…7603backed ALGO Esports53c2,144$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.21723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-61.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Omega45c1,740$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.322,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ALGO Esports32c1,727$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.354,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa304…0b05backed ALGO Esports53c1,618$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.141957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Omega41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.995639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed ALGO Esports51c1,040$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.821744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Omega42c1,034$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.0340449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALGO Esports44c999.8$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.25,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Omega62c957.89$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.54,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2469…4812backed ALGO Esports16c936.39$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.091618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Omega29c932$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.7229340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed ALGO Esports56c834.05$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7411863.6%75 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Omega55c810.85$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5338835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed ALGO Esports55c805.8$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.6266436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed ALGO Esports54c800.34$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.0557641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0083…80fdbacked ALGO Esports53c746.88$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.857038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9c…4da5backed ALGO Esports28c725.92$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.481250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba55…41f1backed ALGO Esports55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3852142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8407…4589backed ALGO Esports51c669.65$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.272133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8798…fb8dbacked ALGO Esports51c616.88$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed ALGO Esports46c608.54$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.291,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Omega62c605.52$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.133,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed ALGO Esports36c599.98$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9918338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed ALGO Esports53c545.66$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.225147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed ALGO Esports56c531.69$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29919245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed ALGO Esports53c530$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.98143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec6…50cdbacked ALGO Esports55c529$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.871540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x543d…89f8backed ALGO Esports54c521.54$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.631643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ALGO Esports54c513.83$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.146,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Omega66c508.29$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.122,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Omega43c508$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.565,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed ALGO Esports54c504.99$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.715740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed ALGO Esports36c503.73$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3530155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ALGO Esports60c485.31$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.697,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed ALGO Esports56c477.61$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.278250%41 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed ALGO Esports37c466.45$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.927459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Omega56c456.86$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8749242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ALGO Esports38c407.39$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.984,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked ALGO Esports60c394$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23531647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Omega59c388.27$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7448635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed ALGO Esports52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked ALGO Esports54c336.78$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.472653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Omega43c326.75$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.821,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed ALGO Esports9c315.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce7c…17cfbacked ALGO Esports56c308.66$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.943348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x254b…e8abbacked ALGO Esports54c308.4$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.583043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ALGO Esports51c302.23$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.491,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed ALGO Esports20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed ALGO Esports35c299.93$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.985464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked ALGO Esports54c293.98$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed ALGO Esports55c287.9$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.352138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Omega56c241.47$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7640635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Omega52c235.72$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.851,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed ALGO Esports20c230.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0816354%88 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Omega45c230.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3526341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked ALGO Esports44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9532649.7%162 W · 164 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4210…2ed6backed Omega73c228.78$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked ALGO Esports48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.64141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb04f…c3a4backed ALGO Esports54c218.3$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.881723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed ALGO Esports48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9644244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed ALGO Esports55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11022342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd954…e3d5backed ALGO Esports64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+63.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54d…05f6backed ALGO Esports54c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed ALGO Esports58c191.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1122059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed ALGO Esports57c190.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4332138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Omega57c188.63$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.364,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed ALGO Esports54c187.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Omega67c186.31$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed ALGO Esports52c185$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.991,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked ALGO Esports55c181.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed ALGO Esports55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed ALGO Esports55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-6.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ALGO Esports54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.691945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…89d6backed ALGO Esports36c167.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed ALGO Esports52c164.8$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed ALGO Esports56c156.48$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9524840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b95…6907backed ALGO Esports66c152.71$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.791566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e7…bbf0backed ALGO Esports53c151$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.031330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Omega47c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.517545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb146…4002backed ALGO Esports52c136.54$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.