CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a58759cb69e613d1879c93281f81c0fb72c7cc726dcc0eb981cfbc26da67b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof ALGO Esports, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ALGO Esports | 49c | 1,095$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.75 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Omega | 50c | 1,080$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.9 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omega | 61c | 1,045$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.88 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALGO Esports | 42c | 457.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.34 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed ALGO Esports | 14c | 303.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 47c | 267.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALGO Esports | 42c | 221.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Omega | 42c | 214.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Omega | 75c | 190.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Omega | 43c | 183.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ALGO Esports | 43c | 181.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ALGO Esports | 46c | 178.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Omega | 53c | 174.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ALGO Esports | 65c | 153.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked ALGO Esports | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Omega | 48c | 124.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked ALGO Esports | 53c | 124$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Omega | 63c | 113.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked ALGO Esports | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…a4edbacked ALGO Esports | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +258.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Omega | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked ALGO Esports | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALGO Esports | 50c | 34.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Omega | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Omega | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…6834backed Omega | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ALGO Esports | 49c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked ALGO Esports | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group BOmega won
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerALGO Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.