CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c554c9597fbec82477b6794ffc7bafe77a0fc215c073c97e151a303aaa8bda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 80c | 5,646$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.37 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 19c | 3,463$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.06 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Over | 18c | 1,262$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 26c | 1,110$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 18c | 861.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 19c | 845$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.39 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 20c | 796$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 19c | 504.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Over | 18c | 375$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Over | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Over | 18c | 292.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Over | 18c | 255.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 16c | 159.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 17c | 107.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…fa14backed Over | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 18c | 72.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Over | 20c | 70.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…6b99backed Over | 18c | 67.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 78c | 61.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed Over | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 44.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Voca (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals PlayoffsVoca won
- Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Voca - Map 1 WinnerVoca won
- Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerVoca won
- Map Handicap: VOCA (-1.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+1.5)Voca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.