Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2f4bb4a7e40cd50890e3aa1bd934ae4936cb7cc3cc9a13a74c3da633d964c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,183 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 63c | 39,411$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 31,879$17,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,277.59 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 43c | 28,884$12,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,513 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 37c | 21,319$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,508.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 42c | 18,652$7,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,908.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 63c | 18,000$11,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,340 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 14,292$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,072.27 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 12,505$6,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.83 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…404fbacked Yes | 55c | 9,097$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 8,591$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.31 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 8,413$5,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,331.26 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 7,406$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.09 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 63c | 7,262$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 37c | 6,964$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.37 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 6c | 6,803$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 6,634$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.01 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 6,633$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.13 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Yes | 53c | 6,415$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 62c | 6,180$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 6,121$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.94 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 53c | 5,776$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 64c | 4,769$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.62 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 4,567$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.94 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed No | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 37c | 3,958$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 52c | 3,855$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Yes | 63c | 3,587$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 60c | 3,356$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 53c | 3,209$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.9 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 37c | 2,979$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 2,644$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.13 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 42c | 2,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.46 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 37c | 2,347$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 2,030$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.42 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.29 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 60c | 1,899$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.56 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 64c | 1,800$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,714$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.57 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 56c | 1,679$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 38c | 1,571$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 37c | 1,560$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 36c | 1,554$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.59 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 1,508$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.59 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 25c | 1,241$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 63c | 1,177$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked No | 37c | 1,051$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed No | 38c | 1,004$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 53c | 943.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 926.34$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.49 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked No | 37c | 900$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.56 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…7eadbacked Yes | 56c | 869.64$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 63c | 838.67$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 62c | 821.15$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 64c | 782.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 36c | 711.85$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.7 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 38c | 700$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed No | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 42c | 671.97$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.58 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 636.31$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.56 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 609.52$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.7 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…f823backed Yes | 30c | 601.42$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…fad1backed Yes | 54c | 600.19$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 64c | 600$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 61c | 582.39$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 53c | 560$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 59c | 542.74$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed No | 37c | 537$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 535.93$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.48 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 64c | 467$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 59c | 450$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 44c | 445.4$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Yes | 34c | 437.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 37c | 415$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 37c | 403.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.02 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 51c | 401.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 57c | 400$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.