South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97463d19ef76fc0911a7d0b2ae37b361b93ab1b9c6aae694b8517e8b970eff70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked Yes | 47c | 125,000$58,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,254.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 53c | 70,501$37,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,365.32 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 53c | 12,832$6,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800.96 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 53c | 10,842$5,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,746 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed No | 53c | 9,387$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 7,037$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 53c | 5,977$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 4,700$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 3,234$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.55 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 49c | 1,956$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.67 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 30c | 1,912$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.54 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 40c | 1,136$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.5 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 53c | 1,057$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.3 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 42c | 962.61$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.73 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 57c | 856$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed No | 55c | 782.64$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.97 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 46c | 703.1$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.67 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 61c | 690$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.23 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 566.7$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 529.54$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.43 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 469$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 62c | 468$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 460.71$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.39 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 47c | 381$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 45c | 369$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked No | 53c | 303.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 260.83$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 257.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.52 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 58c | 247$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No | 47c | 236.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 52c | 230.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 30c | 213.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 27c | 211.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 17c | 170.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 161.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed No | 53c | 152.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Yes | 17c | 147.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…5d05backed No | 54c | 135.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 131$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 64c | 116.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 114.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…8b54backed No | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 95.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…850abacked Yes | 47c | 84.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 83.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 53c | 82.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…d0d2backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 17c | 66.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…2815backed Yes | 47c | 62.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 48c | 61.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 28c | 59.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…875bbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 49.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked No | 54c | 48.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked No | 53c | 39.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…a59cbacked Yes | 48c | 27.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed No | 53c | 23.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 55c | 18.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 79c | 12.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Club León FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.