NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1be6d9a91fda32c5d60903c6904b3d0065bd8c0421e682e304add47c8c678c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 11,849$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,020.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 51c | 8,599$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 3,407$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,395$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 1,610$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.93 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 46c | 1,414$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 57c | 1,396$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 1,143$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.7 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 4c | 954.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Over | 53c | 940.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 50c | 937$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.5 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 39c | 731.47$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.17 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 42c | 580.62$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.66 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 62c | 502.05$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.35 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 27c | 412.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Under | 45c | 344.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…4153backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 61c | 124.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 57c | 82.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 61.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 50c | 57.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 53c | 56.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Over | 56c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 36c | 45.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Over | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 48c | 41.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1483backed Under | 63c | 39.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…d8f4backed Over | 53c | 38.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 38c | 37.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Over | 53c | 37.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Over | 29c | 35.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…e1f2backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 51c | 29.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 46c | 23.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 47c | 22.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…8b54backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 63c | 16.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Magic won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Magic vs. LakersMagic won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.