NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a2199291acba29f71289bd74b4446dadeadcd87a6ada3f9f763a283193aff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 30,949$14,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,636.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Under | 53c | 20,969$11,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,877.04 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 54c | 14,559$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,758.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…1ee3backed Over | 52c | 6,346$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 5,375$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 4,239$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 51c | 4,086$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.26 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 51c | 3,553$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.94 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…7fbdbacked Under | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cc…916abacked Under | 48c | 2,900$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 48c | 2,646$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.26 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 1,068$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Under | 52c | 639.4$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.91 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 627$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 48c | 478.92$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.88 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 48c | 412.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 379.59$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8dd0backed Under | 48c | 346.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 47c | 255.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 52c | 213.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 206.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 200.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 186.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Under | 53c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 68c | 66.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…c9febacked Under | 53c | 54.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 51.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Under | 62c | 48.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Over | 54c | 46.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 50c | 38.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 36.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 35c | 32.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b57…0be4backed Over | 48c | 31.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed Over | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 23.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 56c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Magic won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Magic vs. LakersMagic won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.