NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1b5cf68b5ead1ddba4c98ef0d4558ac51d1a239655ffd58284bc33ee95fed0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 47c | 11,207$5,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,267.29 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 9,584$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 2,425$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.25 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 51c | 2,215$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.65 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 2,111$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.86 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,265$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.11 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 46c | 1,158$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.44 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 26c | 1,153$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 55c | 905.06$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.35 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 773.68$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 51c | 733$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.17 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 26c | 601.24$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 566.69$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 47c | 555.77$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.21 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Under | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Under | 72c | 493.04$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Over | 50c | 369.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 339$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 31c | 319.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…9018backed Under | 51c | 306.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Under | 63c | 295.68$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 53c | 268.04$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 29c | 181.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 8c | 178$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Under | 60c | 166.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 61c | 163.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 158.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 40c | 147.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 12c | 127$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 48c | 118.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 51c | 116.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 113.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under | 62c | 71.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 47c | 70.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 47c | 64.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 51c | 63.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 57.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 36c | 56.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 34c | 47.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 42.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 41.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…c55fbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Under | 55c | 34.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Under | 50c | 29.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…e158backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Magic won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Magic vs. LakersMagic won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.