NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbef96c7737dced8db51f59cc5f43f0c789de8f672f12684147210b8fc1cbfbac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Lakers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Magic | 50c | 44,668$22,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,334.09 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 49c | 34,049$16,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,684.18 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 50c | 10,677$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers | 50c | 8,770$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 49c | 8,607$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 51c | 7,400$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 52c | 5,767$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 47c | 4,891$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.11 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Magic | 51c | 3,915$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.35 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 53c | 2,289$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Magic | 56c | 1,795$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.64 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Magic | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Lakers | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Magic | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Magic | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 47c | 1,009$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Magic | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Magic | 50c | 851.46$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.73 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 44c | 767.77$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 50c | 748.52$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Magic | 56c | 599.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.36 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Lakers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 46c | 488.7$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Lakers | 44c | 468.77$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Magic | 52c | 453.08$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 48c | 436.48$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Magic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Magic | 54c | 381.44$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lakers | 50c | 380.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Magic | 54c | 300.3$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Magic | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Magic | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 47c | 293.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Lakers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Magic | 42c | 284.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.39 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Lakers | 46c | 262.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Lakers | 52c | 255.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Lakers | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Magic | 56c | 228.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Magic | 55c | 218.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Lakers | 51c | 213.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Magic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 48c | 149.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Lakers | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Magic | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Lakers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic | 50c | 119.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Magic | 54c | 109.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Magic | 54c | 109.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Lakers | 46c | 103.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Lakers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Lakers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Magic | 55c | 99.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Lakers | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Magic | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Magic | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Magic | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Magic | 47c | 96.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed Magic | 56c | 81.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Magic | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Magic | 54c | 64.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Lakers | 53c | 63.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…c05ebacked Magic | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Lakers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Lakers | 50c | 58.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…91ddbacked Magic | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Lakers | 51c | 55.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Magic | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Magic | 46c | 53.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -12.5wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Lakers | 53c | 52.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Lakers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Lakers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Magic | 51c | 49.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Lakers | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…4eaabacked Lakers | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Magic | 66c | 47.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…16f1backed Magic | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…c55fbacked Magic | 44c | 44.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Magic | 45c | 43.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Magic | 51c | 40.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 54c | 39.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Magic | 46c | 39.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Magic | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Lakers | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Lakers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Lakers | 49c | 32.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Lakers | 36c | 31.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Lakers | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Magic | 48c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Lakers | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Magic | 49c | 26.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed Magic | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Magic won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Magic vs. LakersMagic won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.