TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Jazz51c75,680$38,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,596.632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jazz55c56,010$30,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,760.0440446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz51c37,609$19,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,178.492,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans45c36,903$16,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,296.91,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda55…df49backed Pelicans49c33,086$16,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,873.71785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+66.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Pelicans49c16,980$8,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,659.5949246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Pelicans45c13,206$5,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,263.3138251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Pelicans49c12,245$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,244.941649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Pelicans49c11,098$5,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,659.9621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pelicans49c11,020$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,620.4138946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Pelicans46c10,392$4,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,565.0451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz54c8,544$4,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,613.742,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Pelicans49c8,163$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.2734854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Pelicans49c8,155$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,15930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans46c7,997$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,284.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans45c7,476$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,111.81,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Pelicans49c7,098$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619.9826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz51c6,453$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.0358449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans49c6,000$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0701,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pelicans48c5,300$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.9770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd246…95d8backed Jazz49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+60.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans46c4,832$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.444,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Pelicans48c4,297$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.8915549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Jazz55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Jazz52c3,773$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.4713142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Jazz53c3,768$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Jazz55c3,354$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.6587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f8…fe4dbacked Pelicans51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.171338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Pelicans50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Jazz52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30012245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Jazz53c2,462$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.7533146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Jazz42c2,424$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.9518438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz52c2,406$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.8489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Pelicans48c2,355$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.635749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pelicans46c2,173$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.3359140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Pelicans46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08011044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Jazz54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Jazz50c1,831$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.3229352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e7…705bbacked Jazz53c1,687$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ba…fa25backed Pelicans51c1,670$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.341650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans63c1,510$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans49c1,509$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Pelicans49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz52c1,400$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.883,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Jazz56c1,350$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75240451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jazz6c1,274$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Pelicans48c1,258$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.2729652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Pelicans49c1,192$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.9258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Jazz20c1,078$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.8236045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Pelicans49c1,030$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.320846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Pelicans46c1,022$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.7425951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz52c999.98$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Jazz42c978.61$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Jazz57c883.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Jazz51c801.08$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9427246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans65c793.27$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.533,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Jazz25c780.5$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4928929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2493…faefbacked Jazz50c730$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Pelicans47c728.24$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.9720355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e4…7ccbbacked Jazz50c728$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236e…6e88backed Pelicans50c712$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419a…09c2backed Pelicans50c704$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3523100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c91…7b91backed Jazz50c696$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b9…0957backed Jazz50c692$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd3…3666backed Jazz50c692$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a7…c0d9backed Pelicans50c690$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadcb…d686backed Pelicans50c684$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb396…e614backed Jazz50c680$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca0…6a23backed Jazz50c678$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d39…f17ebacked Jazz50c674$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6136…3110backed Jazz50c670$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Pelicans60c657.22$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9210849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…eaabbacked Pelicans50c656$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd46…01a6backed Pelicans50c650$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cdf…8ddabacked Pelicans50c644$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cad…9bbcbacked Pelicans50c644$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee0…bb76backed Jazz50c642$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5715…edb0backed Jazz50c642$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a8…ad82backed Pelicans50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d9…2a4dbacked Pelicans50c638$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd698…44e0backed Pelicans50c634$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ce…603dbacked Jazz50c634$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8421…93ffbacked Jazz50c634$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans49c632.47$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd72f…2806backed Pelicans56c619.52$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.92842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac45…7feebacked Pelicans50c618$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b79…eef8backed Pelicans50c618$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fd…a2a3backed Pelicans50c614$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dea…ef7ebacked Pelicans50c614$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans46c612.4$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.12,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8358…9bf9backed Pelicans50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Pelicans50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30015650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cde…b9fdbacked Jazz50c592$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c5…d12dbacked Jazz50c592$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824b…66eebacked Jazz50c588$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fd…72babacked Pelicans50c588$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c7…89a5backed Jazz50c588$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8041…8229backed Pelicans50c584$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb59e…de85backed Jazz50c580$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.