TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbff9…009dbacked Over44c1,734$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.0827052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over57c1,413$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c1,065$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.438,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over34c976.89$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7918438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x254a…725dbacked Over50c688$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f18…b19dbacked Under50c676$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c675.34$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.473,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x509e…554dbacked Over50c674$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88e3…fdb7backed Over50c666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddea…eb00backed Under50c656$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under43c651.34$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.263,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under46c650.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.361,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4254…d606backed Under50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e7…f281backed Under50c632$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ba…cd5ebacked Over50c624$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29cb…5924backed Under50c612$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…19b0backed Over50c596$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58dd…7e85backed Under50c594$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb124…ab67backed Over50c584$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91b4…802cbacked Over50c576$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46c8…8b8cbacked Over50c572$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc9f…eaf4backed Under50c566$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc43c…ee2fbacked Over50c562$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Over52c560.34$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3812547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef1…05afbacked Over50c538$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0590…4a59backed Under50c528$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…f692backed Under50c524$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0026…fec7backed Over50c522$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c4d…8324backed Under50c512$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0519…305ebacked Under50c512$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4401…c3a4backed Under50c508$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4040…6b13backed Under50c508$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb22…ec95backed Over50c506$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a4b…175abacked Under50c506$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa045…f2c5backed Over50c484$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4985…e179backed Over50c484$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a1…d14ebacked Over50c482$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f63…57b9backed Over55c480$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-58.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d98…2065backed Over50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed77…699ebacked Over50c478$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5f…bb32backed Over50c472$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…e292backed Over50c472$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…97fdbacked Over50c472$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…6081backed Under50c468$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…f40ebacked Under50c458$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8209…8415backed Under50c452$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x741c…4ddabacked Under51c452$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe416…0b86backed Under50c446$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e1…96edbacked Under50c436$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f9…3b6ebacked Over50c436$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95dc…42c7backed Over49c433$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3164…94e3backed Under50c430$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d71…3a9cbacked Under51c424$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…c365backed Over50c424$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc30b…0c30backed Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15da…78a7backed Under50c418$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e7…9385backed Over49c418$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8820…a7cabacked Under50c418$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac6…f945backed Over50c416$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under48c412.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.613547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc57…a892backed Over50c412$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda01…8f97backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over56c399.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9966645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dfb…793dbacked Under50c398$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6760…f4b2backed Under50c398$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf359…c30dbacked Over50c396$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afa…f211backed Under50c384$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ded…a716backed Over50c382$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd1…1b94backed Over50c380$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under70c371.33$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3346258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aab…ce85backed Under50c370$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b6…cd78backed Under50c364$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382b…6669backed Under50c358$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2c…aff8backed Over50c358$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6d3…bdb4backed Over50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…58e4backed Over50c348$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d24…76a7backed Over50c344$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd081…a97ebacked Under50c338$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ff…1e20backed Over49c331$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0445…be30backed Under50c322$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c83…d388backed Over49c321$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e67…1d07backed Under50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a9…197bbacked Over49c316.89$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf64…1a66backed Under51c315$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6549…c0babacked Under50c314$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fac…dea3backed Under51c314$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…a929backed Under51c313$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e8…b61abacked Under51c312$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d1…109bbacked Under45c310$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755e…1d7ebacked Over49c310$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e8…f661backed Under50c310$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddb…ea88backed Under50c308$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f5…69fabacked Over50c304$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3571…c340backed Under50c304$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c303.08$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c284.66$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.654,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over6c259.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.211,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ae…a936backed Over50c254$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c246.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.612,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.