TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Under51c68,250$34,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,755.868944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over50c22,934$11,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,46737747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over47c9,358$4,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.0337842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c7,490$3,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,731.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over50c7,326$3,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,663.226949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over50c6,167$3,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,083.7236351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Over48c5,964$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.9112547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c5,464$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under51c4,000$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,97813543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c3,842$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under51c2,556$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.3338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c2,259$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.532,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over50c2,255$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over52c2,111$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.8458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over51c1,947$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,153$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.43,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over49c1,024$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under59c974.87$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.9626048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c935.73$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Under54c929.99$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.834855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under56c907.14$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.4748957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c723$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c705.44$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.072,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under80c656.43$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.141,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over49c640.19$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over32c621.43$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.183,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0134…12d2backed Over49c565.31$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c515.65$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under51c446.6$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.422,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c414.3$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1738946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6218650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Over27c374.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over40c373.29$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.321,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over50c337.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c324.66$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.341,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Under73c299.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8112454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over50c269.6$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.046953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under53c232.26$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.140243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x220e…3b20backed Over49c207.55$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.72454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under76c196.96$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d5…1232backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6869049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.42,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over50c168.47$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2421943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under53c150.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1339552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb90…4d19backed Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.52673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2510955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.156547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over34c105.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.527052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under71c103$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9438540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under52c102$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5125559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over47c99.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9995548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Over31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015446.8%72 W · 82 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8939…ffdfbacked Under51c84.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.892142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under57c75.87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4711347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under64c73.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6420651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over51c69.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4121459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over23c69.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0311826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over47c64.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5557250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under52c64.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2527246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under52c61.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.737145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c59.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Under51c59.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0132148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8214252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over48c57.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4934047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…7af9backed Over50c57.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.63158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.610156.4%57 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Over51c53.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4511661.2%71 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Under70c51.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2728455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258143.2%35 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87fe…875bbacked Over35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0232654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d3…6c27backed Under71c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.052356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c40.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under50c40.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0640541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2225753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over29c37.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0919435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.