NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe7eb4e0f5808ef74cfb0c814ca479081a4546442fb64e8269af0981fd5d7830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 50c | 19,995$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997.49 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6c…0ce2backed Over | 53c | 6,491$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…7764backed Over | 53c | 6,151$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 50c | 4,292$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.95 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…674cbacked Under | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…1953backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636d…8ea7backed Under | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…793fbacked Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 48c | 2,255$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.47 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 53c | 1,893$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,622$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 52c | 1,161$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.71 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 1,106$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 1,095$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,043$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 844$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 51c | 797.06$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 37c | 729.23$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 684.08$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 681.77$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.16 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b87…29e5backed Under | 47c | 650.94$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 647.1$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 30c | 611.25$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 501.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 501.55$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…e23abacked Under | 47c | 490.56$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 407.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 205.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Over | 52c | 177.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 48c | 175.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Under | 51c | 158.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 140.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b68dbacked Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Over | 49c | 90.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 49c | 74.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 54c | 65.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 60.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 46c | 58.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 74c | 54.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Over | 54c | 50.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 47.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 49c | 47.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Under | 54c | 46.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 33c | 44.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 55c | 27.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Under | 45c | 25.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 54c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5this page
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Derik Queen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Pelicans vs. JazzPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5Under won
- Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.