NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2c7fa6035076fe822164eca8d5a033a4afad9e823a020eb573cb03c1b1b3477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 48c | 8,738$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.75 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 4,409$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,992$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 47c | 3,263$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.17 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 46c | 2,474$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 1,557$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 52c | 1,274$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.52 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 1,187$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.68 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Under | 58c | 580.14$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.66 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 54c | 337.17$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 52c | 288$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 253.12$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 206.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 189.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 155$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Over | 49c | 112.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 55c | 84.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 55c | 78.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Under | 51c | 57.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Under | 51c | 55.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Under | 67c | 45.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under | 53c | 39.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 33c | 32.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Over | 33c | 30.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 76c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5this page
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Derik Queen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Pelicans vs. JazzPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5Under won
- Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.