TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes56c46,268$25,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,969.7115647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes59c26,000$15,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,304.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No42c18,107$7,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,502.182871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No41c16,617$6,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,803.785250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c12,290$5,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,062.1126345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes58c8,868$5,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,143.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No43c8,473$3,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,840.6625149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c5,836$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.131,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c4,315$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.6177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c3,683$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.793,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes60c3,208$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.349239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No64c3,017$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.8287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No41c2,906$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.542536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No42c2,835$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.492360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No47c2,687$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.9712451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c2,524$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.0723643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes59c2,458$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No40c2,222$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.091553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No44c1,874$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.7642947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No42c1,800$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04415341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No43c1,536$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.489151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No41c1,226$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.344949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No39c1,028$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.8758043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5803100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No35c774$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.4529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked No42c684.47$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No43c629$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.0437649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes59c620$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3633151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3426155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No70c598$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1841339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes46c535.61$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.41,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked No42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No44c499.81$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.856732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x713e…f595backed Yes58c494.78$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c431.49$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Yes58c429.04$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23620641.3%85 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed No43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes57c375.77$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4315144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes56c374.78$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No41c366$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.941855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c285.13$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked Yes58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No47c258$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes40c250.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No44c248$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.884252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes7c243.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.439567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed No43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No42c224.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5513942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No42c221.37$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.315850%29 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed No45c217$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-44.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed No43c189.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes34c178$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.236154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No60c177.21$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6419847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No56c159.26$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878919.1%17 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No66c141.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1221545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked No43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No49c124.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0531834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes44c112.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.064355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e40…3b52backed Yes58c112.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No45c111.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.279740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No42c108$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.722759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes57c107.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.981681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No45c101.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.092653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No62c99.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8937138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes43c89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.271855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes32c79.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+270.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…237dbacked Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-64.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes61c65.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No41c64.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8325934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No40c62.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.035349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No44c61.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.814362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes58c61.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.53641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed No48c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e01…a0b0backed No50c57.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No42c56.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.734139%16 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes48c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.43043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed No44c53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.681573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba23…814dbacked No42c51.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed No41c51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.092445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0919…cf96backed Yes57c50.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.58955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c50.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.351,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes56c50.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.893426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x02ee…9ac3backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked No44c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.321050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed No47c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.912060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a3…2784backed No43c44.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked No43c44.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3601…cbd5backed No47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes65c42.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4996756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.