Mls · resolved market
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11c9b63e6406bfc80fc4e52d6187eeb97f31cea9d6aa7ec3f3e02ca66b8119f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 903.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 369.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 365$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 11c | 273$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 29c | 264.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 173.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 20c | 121.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 100.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 39c | 90.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 78c | 86.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 76c | 65.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Yes | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 61.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 21c | 48.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 40.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 31.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.