Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona Waltert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18293d97c8d09cf7c934e4af1d39553b061fdb15524242ca6bc6ce92df2fecfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Waltertof Kasatkina, Waltert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Waltert | 39c | 15,399$5,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,441.29 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Kasatkina | 59c | 9,715$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Kasatkina | 70c | 9,438$6,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,584.88 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Waltert | 53c | 5,863$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Waltert | 39c | 5,369$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Waltert | 29c | 4,115$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.65 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…5dabbacked Kasatkina | 60c | 4,038$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Kasatkina | 47c | 3,941$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.35 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Kasatkina | 26c | 3,906$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kasatkina | 65c | 3,159$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.43 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Kasatkina | 63c | 3,113$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.76 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Waltert | 38c | 2,808$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.78 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Waltert | 31c | 2,788$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.86 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Waltert | 39c | 2,340$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.63 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kasatkina | 52c | 2,291$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.7 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Kasatkina | 66c | 1,872$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.8 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Kasatkina | 43c | 1,742$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.05 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kasatkina | 62c | 1,674$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.09 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Kasatkina | 62c | 1,640$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kasatkina | 66c | 1,639$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.33 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Waltert | 41c | 1,611$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Kasatkina | 56c | 1,604$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.48 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Kasatkina | 59c | 1,518$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Waltert | 43c | 1,500$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.05 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Waltert | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Waltert | 28c | 1,410$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.66 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Kasatkina | 2c | 1,400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Waltert | 39c | 1,300$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…5622backed Waltert | 39c | 1,097$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Waltert | 33c | 1,034$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.42 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Waltert | 41c | 1,011$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.57 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dff…4d38backed Kasatkina | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Waltert | 59c | 1,000$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Kasatkina | 55c | 967.2$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.08 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…193cbacked Waltert | 24c | 964.93$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked Kasatkina | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kasatkina | 59c | 785.89$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.27 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Kasatkina | 64c | 749$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.87 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Kasatkina | 38c | 685.85$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.77 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kasatkina | 64c | 681$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kasatkina | 64c | 672.77$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Kasatkina | 45c | 667.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Waltert | 43c | 608.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.1 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kasatkina | 65c | 603$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.71 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Kasatkina | 63c | 586$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.33 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Waltert | 23c | 583.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.78 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Kasatkina | 67c | 571.79$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.65 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Waltert | 48c | 531.68$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.21 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Waltert | 62c | 527.41$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Waltert | 51c | 510.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Waltert | 39c | 500$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Kasatkina | 73c | 438.84$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.35 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -9.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Kasatkina | 62c | 437.12$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.04 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Waltert | 40c | 420$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…2365backed Waltert | 24c | 390$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed Waltert | 43c | 363.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Waltert | 48c | 354.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.27 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Waltert | 54c | 343.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Kasatkina | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…3d9ebacked Waltert | 40c | 314.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Waltert | 38c | 307.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.42 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Waltert | 71c | 300.65$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Kasatkina | 59c | 300.42$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Waltert | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…052dbacked Kasatkina | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Waltert | 45c | 284.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Kasatkina | 39c | 274.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Waltert | 41c | 262$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Kasatkina | 70c | 260.82$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Kasatkina | 57c | 254.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kasatkina | 64c | 249.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Waltert | 40c | 249.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Waltert | 41c | 246.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Waltert | 48c | 242.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Kasatkina | 80c | 240$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.76 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Waltert | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…ee20backed Kasatkina | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Kasatkina | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…bba0backed Waltert | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Waltert | 33c | 199.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…b0c4backed Waltert | 32c | 199.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Kasatkina | 51c | 195.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Waltert | 31c | 175$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Kasatkina | 64c | 174.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Kasatkina | 66c | 173.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Waltert | 54c | 170.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed Kasatkina | 70c | 170.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Waltert | 39c | 163.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…a4eebacked Kasatkina | 69c | 161.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Kasatkina | 60c | 159.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Kasatkina | 67c | 151.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Kasatkina | 65c | 148$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Waltert | 40c | 134.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kasatkina | 48c | 133.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Waltert | 22c | 131.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Waltert | 49c | 130.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed Kasatkina | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…ac1bbacked Kasatkina | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…b3dabacked Kasatkina | 56c | 116.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Waltert | 39c | 113.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona Waltertthis page
- Kasatkina vs. Waltert: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Kasatkina vs. Waltert: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Kasatkina vs. Waltert: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Kasatkina vs. Waltert: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kasatkina vs WaltertWaltert won
- Set Handicap: Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Waltert (+1.5)Waltert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.