Tennis · resolved market
Pune: Michael Geerts vs Felix Gill
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83ea7e91da0167f04a6e68c6e91dcfa0fb0ccf6a63402c40c00262f194fa0736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gillof Geerts, Gill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Geerts | 70c | 8,696$6,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,112.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Gill | 46c | 4,798$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.83 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Gill | 30c | 3,284$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.57 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gill | 44c | 3,065$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.06 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Geerts | 13c | 2,203$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.09 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Geerts | 55c | 1,663$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.9 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gill | 45c | 1,449$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.66 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Geerts | 44c | 1,437$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.94 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Gill | 59c | 1,165$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.83 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Gill | 23c | 1,098$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.57 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3052…ca02backed Geerts | 56c | 700$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Geerts | 50c | 612$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…51ebbacked Geerts | 59c | 596.62$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gill | 33c | 586.36$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.38 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Geerts | 69c | 568.57$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.71 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Geerts | 49c | 548$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.86 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gill | 27c | 490.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.22 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Geerts | 52c | 464$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gill | 40c | 450.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.43 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Geerts | 76c | 427.77$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.59 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Gill | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed Geerts | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Geerts | 63c | 389.16$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.22 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Gill | 32c | 357.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Geerts | 59c | 331.18$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gill | 39c | 270.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Gill | 46c | 250.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.34 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gill | 47c | 250.11$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Geerts | 21c | 241.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Gill | 45c | 230.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Gill | 22c | 226.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…e6b7backed Geerts | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Gill | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Geerts | 43c | 209.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Gill | 48c | 208$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Gill | 15c | 203.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Gill | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Geerts | 56c | 179.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Geerts | 32c | 175.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Geerts | 50c | 153$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Gill | 51c | 145.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Gill | 24c | 144.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Geerts | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…98f1backed Gill | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…b822backed Geerts | 54c | 110.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Gill | 29c | 101.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Gill | 24c | 98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Geerts | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Geerts | 54c | 92.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Gill | 23c | 86.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Geerts | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Geerts | 45c | 71.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4d5fbacked Geerts | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Geerts | 53c | 61.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Geerts | 65c | 57.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Geerts | 73c | 57.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Gill | 43c | 55.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…8b54backed Gill | 68c | 43.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Geerts | 53c | 42.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Geerts | 34c | 40.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Gill | 47c | 40.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Geerts | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Geerts | 70c | 37.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Geerts | 48c | 33.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Geerts | 57c | 30.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…6dc1backed Geerts | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Geerts | 52c | 20.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.