Mls · resolved market

San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb715b69f056f6972c002afa4ab5142f1ef25c41cec75fbb93d34431f2d9a4e1f

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $164,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $165,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,278 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x916f…53babacked Under	37c	130,000$48,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,899.69	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over	63c	73,180$46,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,220.11	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+6.0wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	63c	22,224$14,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,003.07	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	63c	18,608$11,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,723.04	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	63c	6,744$4,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,259.88	153	41.2%63 W · 90 L	-14.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-24%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Under	36c	4,828$1,738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,090.78	156	47.4%74 W · 82 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	63c	4,000$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over	63c	3,000$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Over	63c	3,000$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	37c	2,793$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,764.3	251	49%123 W · 128 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	52c	1,499$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.99	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over	63c	1,200$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over	63c	972.51$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.48	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over	79c	862.65$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	63c	599.99$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.99	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over	64c	599.94$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.96	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Over	67c	529.85$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…3b37backed Under	44c	502.05$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+128.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	46c	446.29$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.38	777	51.7%402 W · 375 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	61c	407.57$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	36c	404.91$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.54	461	56.2%259 W · 202 L	+13.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	64c	400.19$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f64…452abacked Over	53c	398.89$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over	62c	396.21$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.36	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked Over	67c	389.88$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.65	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Under	36c	357.06$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72b5…8b54backed Over	65c	325$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+122.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Under	31c	320.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.68	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	63c	317$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.71	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee0…bf55backed Under	37c	309.03$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+170.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e4e…adcfbacked Over	62c	281.25$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.53	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-37%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under	36c	208.33$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over	48c	200.97$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.61	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	26c	199.53$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.27	288	51.4%148 W · 140 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	64c	199$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.36	206	48.5%100 W · 106 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed Under	38c	170.5$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2139…7fe2backed Over	58c	159.99$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.89	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	34c	159.25$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.68	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under	35c	145.72$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.72	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over	63c	139.51$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.48	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8958…e945backed Over	64c	136$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	78c	130.06$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.61	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over	63c	128.89$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.77	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under	38c	128.82$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.87	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x023e…a3b9backed Over	63c	128.2$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under	38c	126.32$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.32	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…ed19backed Over	63c	124.95$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	63c	118.8$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.91	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	72c	105.57$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.81	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Over	78c	100.96$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.87	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2253…2cc2backed Over	63c	99.17$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	18c	96$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	206	41.3%85 W · 121 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under	50c	88$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+71.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4d…0839backed Under	38c	79.89$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.53	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+163.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over	64c	78.94$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.52	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-7.7wins	-0.26per pick	57cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Under	37c	67.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.56	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	60cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Under	37c	66.49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.57	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Over	64c	65.59$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c3…466cbacked Over	69c	61.43$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over	26c	57.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50b7…9802backed Over	50c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Under	36c	55.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.59	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e84…5c32backed Over	63c	55.45$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	50c	54.95$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	22c	52.88$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.38	263	45.2%119 W · 144 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca1…5446backed Over	58c	52.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	59c	50.44$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.58	923	46.6%430 W · 493 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Over	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d2e…3fb7backed Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-37%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0aa…6818backed Over	65c	43.52$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over	64c	43$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-7.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under	35c	40.85$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.55	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	31c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Over	63c	39.68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over	64c	37.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under	43c	33.98$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.42	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.33per pick	53cpaid	+64.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8ba…068dbacked Over	62c	32.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over	66c	32.03$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.14	110	46.4%51 W · 59 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9f…3544backed Over	36c	30.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.08	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.33per pick	53cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Under	36c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under	39c	28.23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.22	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+128.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f5…c002backed Over	63c	26.39$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Over	63c	25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked Over	64c	23.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	48c	22.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over	64c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	371	38.8%144 W · 227 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Under	78c	20.58$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.51	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	67cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	64c	18.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5this page
San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Under won
San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)San Diego FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event