TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$319,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over45c283,317$126,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,218.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under55c211,394$116,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,127.14837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c21,208$12,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,962.023,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under55c12,571$6,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,656.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Under58c9,187$5,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,858.6415647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under57c6,619$3,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.8525149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over42c6,285$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.7110%0 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c6,116$3,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.8726345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under54c5,477$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.773663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c3,975$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.7177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Under57c3,540$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under55c3,260$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.993253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Over45c2,667$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0755054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over42c1,810$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.4837138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c1,724$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.4187154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6455251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under77c1,021$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under61c886.61$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.831952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under56c800$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3484843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32815341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x167d…cf09backed Under62c775.18$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under60c702.12$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.652846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2646155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over36c569.89$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.085337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e4e…adcfbacked Over51c561.99$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.93540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Under77c512.58$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.042259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.554459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over25c400.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6782044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over41c361.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0728851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under70c349.21$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-76.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under56c300$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.519657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2253…2cc2backed Under58c295.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over59c287.45$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over10c283.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.345547.3%26 W · 29 L+14.3wins+0.26per pick21cpaid+225.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under55c254.4$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.484949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.570%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under49c225.73$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.731947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under57c176.64$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.92931%9 W · 20 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over41c162.95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.815131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over16c160.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.281,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.23330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Over42c138.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under57c135$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.058653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over43c132.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Under46c129.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.055100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under58c123.26$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.213950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over46c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.543348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under57c115$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.455651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c115$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9646156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under57c112$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.164656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under54c108.7$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over50c101.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.184355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d17…d4dcbacked Under59c96.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.75556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.75154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under49c89.12$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae72…7437backed Under65c87.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Under59c85.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Under56c84.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under58c84.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over45c76.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.256256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over30c67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under59c66.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.252462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under56c65.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.84854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.84953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.84951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under59c59.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.251546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1878…85e2backed Under59c59.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Under60c58.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over29c57.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7528721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d2e…3fb7backed Over42c57.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over39c56.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Under47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.193056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Under79c52.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.55152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.755261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e42…a982backed Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e0…3a5fbacked Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.392352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under77c45.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+64.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce18…3c84backed Over29c44.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Under59c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.