La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81b1dbcde838ab109de56b3bb246d1b4f45665c5e06b312dd3771c5a1288dbcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 1,394$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.03 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 27c | 1,370$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,368$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 27c | 544$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 73c | 352.1$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed No | 73c | 272.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 224$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 68c | 191$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 27c | 185.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 19c | 170.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 28c | 141.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 104.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 27c | 96.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 26c | 95.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 29c | 94.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac3…03eebacked Yes | 27c | 77.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 64.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 28c | 61.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 18c | 59.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…c178backed Yes | 26c | 49.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 21c | 49.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 80c | 42.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-19?this page
- Will Granada CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.