La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6f4a72a5a5be69c8ba0976623384fee8a5d6e0d518af5967c8cf51b2efae72b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 55c | 6,000$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 3,767$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.83 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 1,935$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.9 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 1,727$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.9 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,444$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.63 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 56c | 1,047$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 403.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.03 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 373.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.72 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 54c | 347$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 305.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked No | 41c | 146.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 42c | 130.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba3…56aebacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 117.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 87.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 74.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 70.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…a6ebbacked Yes | 70c | 63.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 33c | 60.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 63c | 49.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 35c | 37.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 68c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 56c | 35.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…8a3dbacked No | 52c | 32.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…39fdbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…b1d3backed No | 70c | 16.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?this page
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-19?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.