La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e38ca8ecb9ebe924742de7f318e023c99bed95ce2f7304006f8184ff05fd96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 7,974$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 41c | 6,585$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.19 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 25c | 1,447$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.68 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,157$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.16 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…7dd0backed No | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 26c | 500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 26c | 301.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 212.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 24c | 206.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 41c | 137.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 125.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 21c | 120.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 60c | 65.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c9…abc2backed Yes | 42c | 49.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 29c | 44.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 74c | 31.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 41c | 29.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…db47backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-19?this page
- Will Granada CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.