TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No65c12,935$8,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,562.1890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No75c10,552$7,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.966357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c9,205$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.592,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes26c7,692$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c7,093$5,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7883,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c6,474$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.231,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No65c5,674$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.7260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes26c3,077$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes35c2,157$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.958461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No75c2,067$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.671758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes9c1,923$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c1,887$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.944,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes31c1,513$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c1,465$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes53c1,417$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.4649057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3df…beefbacked No75c1,408$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes4c1,406$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5426…bc07backed Yes25c1,399$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed No69c1,379$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed No75c1,350$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No74c1,293$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.1150949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74b…d765backed Yes26c1,281$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes66c1,263$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.41,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6646…0925backed No75c1,204$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes9c1,197$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4719042.1%80 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4412…a488backed Yes25c1,195$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5972…2702backed Yes9c1,077$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Yes25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes25c928$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2325232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Yes62c899.99$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes34c897.9$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4815150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes54c787.88$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9941147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No71c785.6$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.823946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c771.12$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No74c753.95$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0327854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes32c701.55$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1661032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d1…8e71backed Yes69c689.76$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Yes25c612$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes6c605.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3423727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c4…5992backed Yes39c597.44$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes23c575.03$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2929038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No30c573.8$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.6622753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Yes26c508.14$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked No75c504$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+87%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec1c…4b95backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes16c493$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.881553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes55c434.55$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2392828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes42c426.22$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3684939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No57c408$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4915246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21eb…839cbacked Yes26c387.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.751020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-50.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c375.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No54c325.95$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No63c316.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9517458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes35c303.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No37c302.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4735145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes33c302.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.751315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes9c300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes33c297.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.476350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa770…c45cbacked No76c296.86$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes62c291.06$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.465052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Yes69c281.07$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes13c266.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes25c257.69$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed No75c255.96$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes25c245.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2415444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c234.81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf53e…89b7backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221637.5%6 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick11cpaid+262.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes25c197.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.35050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Yes31c190.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.751330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed No69c190$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.751346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes41c157.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.972634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27e2…20ccbacked Yes58c152.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.071450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes66c152.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes72c138.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes74c136.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1622653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ddd…179abacked Yes31c134.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No75c133$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.252181%17 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No51c129.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9357252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes9c128.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504663%29 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes46c125.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3515643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c4…5dd1backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes65c123.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.