Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x263601797e89b8f673634a45e57659d119a6c77d6abd6d5f95c1d1081a1a3ce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,411$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.89 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,012$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.17 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 62c | 242.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 61c | 129.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 40c | 123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 96.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…4e25backed Yes | 61c | 91.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 56c | 71.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes | 61c | 40.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Yes | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Yes | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Yes | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Yes | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 72c | 14.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.