TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$493,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$601,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed No75c106,907$79,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,980.636142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x570f…58c6backed No0c88,090$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes25c63,969$15,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,977.0115344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No75c50,000$37,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,50018950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes25c19,256$4,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,44221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa898…8d2ebacked Yes26c19,231$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,230.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes31c13,489$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,329.747443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c12,971$4,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,966.434,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes28c12,649$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,143.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes25c11,991$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,993.497028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c8,731$6,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,418.92,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes25c6,620$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,958.011747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes26c6,123$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,531.087841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes25c5,300$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9751,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed No5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c4,920$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.352,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No76c4,444$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.1626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c3,616$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.616,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No75c3,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes23c2,934$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.918343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed No75c2,579$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.572425%6 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c2,460$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.822,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes74c2,397$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.791,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6001540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes25c1,773$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.8413939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes25c1,603$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.31,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes25c1,443$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.342433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes24c1,392$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.676437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No72c1,347$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.941,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes25c1,343$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.2572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…6594backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No32c1,230$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.266333.3%21 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4d…51a0backed No77c1,121$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No77c966.96$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.566167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes78c920.39$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.834139%16 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+74.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No75c899.97$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.7639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f99…3406backed Yes26c846.15$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes24c699$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.671,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No19c696.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6842043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes30c666.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.835328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes28c660.29$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.417741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes62c639.91$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9925530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Yes24c625$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4752832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No76c600$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45618551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked Yes24c594.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.183351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes28c574.32$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.3221143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.563240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.715335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick20cpaid+287.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.192218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6719732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No27c405.4$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0820931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes26c402.27$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.681225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes25c400.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4319426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2969961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30044036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes25c399.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.673129%9 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes25c372$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2793531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No74c363$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.949346.2%43 W · 50 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes26c362.23$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2318124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c351$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes25c348$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26122229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes28c345.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.561533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes24c344.33$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3316233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes24c321.45$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0320246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea15…523dbacked Yes28c309.93$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.69520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22832453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21613651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes69c290$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5224146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed No21c278.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.611540%6 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f7…9541backed Yes28c271.43$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes79c255.02$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.916053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…e114backed Yes27c231.66$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.022969%20 W · 9 L+11.0wins+0.38per pick31cpaid+136.4%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes25c220$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16527141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14820750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No19c199.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No39c199.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No75c191$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2525551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes27c188.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.587339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes24c187.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes24c187.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.52737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Yes25c186.12$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.593447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c184$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes24c183.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.333756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes29c174.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.372025%5 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…439ebacked Yes79c172.08$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.141450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes28c171.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.438927%24 W · 65 L-11.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x018d…4fdabacked Yes35c168.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.26955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes25c164$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12340841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed No44c155.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.533528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed No75c155$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.255034%17 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.856258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No44c150.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5312245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe127…fe33backed Yes26c140$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes25c138.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8833753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.