TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8566…c626backed No71c19,264$13,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,586.534463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes29c9,051$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.7940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c5,115$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.0698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4506360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c3,193$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.7549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No70c2,051$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.244658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No77c2,012$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.239576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes35c1,661$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5804738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No78c1,281$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.8229862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No78c1,230$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c1,167$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.121,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No78c1,037$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.1723244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes29c925.6$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.5196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c720.19$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.2644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c690.14$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.144971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes29c690.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c603.41$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No70c494.19$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.262356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes16c475.76$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes25c470$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5820431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes24c411$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.644131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked No71c330$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes28c306.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No78c265$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.314936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes13c209.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5810038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5838547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No67c194.75$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes24c192.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4214347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No67c187.64$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes6c187.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.891346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No67c158.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.251866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes30c155.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.752060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed No68c147$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed No71c125$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.72176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2f95…bcf4backed Yes30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes31c100.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+127.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3326747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3023245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes26c92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2717744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No70c90.47$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.145959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No78c90$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.87135.2%25 W · 46 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes35c89.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.247237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes25c84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…8975backed Yes30c80.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes26c77.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No70c71.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4333144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c70.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7616219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yes29c69.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.452560%15 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No72c69.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.578160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3527…93f2backed Yes35c69.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c8…2b27backed Yes30c65.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes29c64.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6319…1f4fbacked Yes30c63.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes30c63.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.074447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes30c63.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.053026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb931…33efbacked Yes30c63.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No71c59.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.236744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes30c59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No70c50.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.284379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes34c50.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1514553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No70c50.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155143.1%22 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.96946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa793…1776backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228c…0fb0backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No70c49.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9932150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No70c39.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1213160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No70c39.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0827226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No70c35.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes33c34.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5314845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No71c31.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.034847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c28.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x902f…86abbacked No71c26.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.514255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.