TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No73c46,025$33,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,444.955349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c31,408$8,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,477.5668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c21,651$5,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,548.3696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No73c18,796$13,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,075.784757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c14,023$3,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,764.3498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Yes4c12,490$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.7440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c11,105$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.452,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes26c10,096$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.9640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No73c8,000$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1609952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No73c7,027$5,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.44445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes27c6,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6209631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9621058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No73c3,928$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No73c3,413$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.57248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c3,050$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b4f…267ebacked Yes28c2,607$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Yes28c2,177$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.591250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes27c1,905$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.1640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9add…73c6backed Yes28c1,900$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c1,631$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.6635646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0115…b16abacked No73c1,600$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes28c1,548$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0210940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf24e…080dbacked No73c1,515$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.07560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c1,502$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.0812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5566…1046backed No73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4057255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes26c1,400$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3644030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes27c1,293$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9b…5e15backed Yes29c1,200$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No72c1,116$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.15959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes28c1,100$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30822237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No72c1,011$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.194245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes12c822.16$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No73c818.51$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22512049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c795.33$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes28c688$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.642330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes28c678.57$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1906829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No73c588.53$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes10c555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.57945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40358.6%3 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes27c478.31$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No73c453.78$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ad…1ab8backed No74c437$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.62560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No73c415.55$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.26266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No73c408$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1617651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes27c399.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa25b…1220backed Yes10c377.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No73c342$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.344835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes26c311.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8722348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes8c303.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes26c301.43$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3128931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes27c299.72$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.653321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes26c298$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked Yes28c284.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.761844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes27c238.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f81…2a7bbacked Yes5c211.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes13c204.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7790%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5216251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd399…185fbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2718…c9c4backed Yes29c196.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No74c177.27$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.951060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No74c173.33$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.420431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes28c166$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.481225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No73c160$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.214347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes26c146$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.966349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9913366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No73c130.63$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2726040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Yes10c127$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No73c126.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5426046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No71c123.44$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.81866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No72c115.64$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No73c112$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No75c110.74$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8314553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes26c102.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.66837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5a…2afdbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3319…8527backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+80.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.