TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$661,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,379 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over40c398,441$159,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159,376.331850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under60c264,669$158,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,867.775642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Over45c150,000$67,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,499.832740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c122,300$70,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,368.391,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under60c70,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,0004459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under57c28,273$16,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,260.7413348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c26,151$13,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,240.915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c23,452$11,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,051.2521144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under56c20,878$11,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,164.6837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c14,761$7,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,817.1871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under56c10,781$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.81560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,091757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.9214346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over49c6,060$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.43141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2503100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad8d…a233backed Under59c4,980$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc4…7a2abacked Over41c4,980$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over24c4,200$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0081855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c3,345$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.6962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over46c3,275$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under55c2,810$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.511717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under60c2,511$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.3324052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c2,324$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.5929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c2,091$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.0787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over44c1,730$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7611070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under58c1,402$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.826368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over31c1,237$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.071936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under55c1,182$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8219055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under74c1,110$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.163745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under56c948.75$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3217251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Over24c878.12$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over15c735.07$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.265729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under47c637.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.093551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.362050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Over42c633.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.272737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under63c611.58$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.925957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c559$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.097648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over36c557.05$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.568333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under55c525.17$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.759256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under60c473.12$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c448.23$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.089450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under56c422.73$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over25c408.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under63c393.01$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.414965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under55c364.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3414247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under53c363.78$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.952035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over18c344.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over46c299.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.994050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c278.49$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd732…0fd0backed Under55c272.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e5…8b41backed Under49c268.16$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2958…3974backed Under65c259.05$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked Under79c244.01$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over52c240.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6424…3045backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under69c231.88$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.884254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x638f…2edcbacked Over26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over37c218.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.781127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over46c217.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over46c217.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c201.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dee…8780backed Over52c189.01$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under55c181$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4512147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d54…6a78backed Under49c168.59$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over49c167.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d0d…b02fbacked Under57c162.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169b…6f9ebacked Over46c141.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.46549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under59c138.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6412448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under62c128.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.031656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under76c128.01$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6526046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a3…989bbacked Under49c126.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over18c122.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over46c114.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.41540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under55c109.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.410556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff56…8609backed Over52c105.93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf86…5394backed Over17c105.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0b…83e4backed Over44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.