Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4851b52b272e124ffc77bcd9ef6acf27c281774f490437b8aa321bb359b24a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris FCof Olympique Lyonnais, Paris FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,006 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris FC | 70c | 24,093$16,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,191.63 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 30c | 10,771$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.02 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Olympique Lyonnais | 31c | 4,663$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.73 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 3,676$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Paris FC | 67c | 1,499$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.72 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 26c | 1,248$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.97 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…37f3backed Paris FC | 76c | 986.18$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Olympique Lyonnais | 31c | 969.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Olympique Lyonnais | 29c | 799.97$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Paris FC | 69c | 734.24$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2a…ad70backed Olympique Lyonnais | 28c | 714.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Paris FC | 67c | 641.35$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 11c | 541.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Olympique Lyonnais | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Olympique Lyonnais | 29c | 331.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Paris FC | 68c | 276.13$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…8e67backed Olympique Lyonnais | 27c | 273.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Paris FC | 68c | 215.27$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 209$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Paris FC | 67c | 200.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…6211backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 189.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Olympique Lyonnais | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Paris FC | 70c | 183.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Paris FC | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Paris FC | 70c | 138.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Paris FC | 67c | 128.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…e2c2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 113.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…1f27backed Paris FC | 68c | 100.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…4e79backed Paris FC | 68c | 88.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…7f68backed Olympique Lyonnais | 14c | 78.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 70.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Paris FC | 79c | 68.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Paris FC | 70c | 66.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 62.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Paris FC | 69c | 62.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b899backed Paris FC | 68c | 41.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…f19fbacked Paris FC | 68c | 40.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Olympique Lyonnais | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…d148backed Paris FC | 72c | 33.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…875ebacked Paris FC | 68c | 31.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Paris FC | 72c | 30.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Paris FC | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Paris FC | 71c | 29.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Paris FC | 67c | 28.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde95…b97fbacked Paris FC | 70c | 28.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Paris FC | 67c | 26.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Paris FC | 70c | 26.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Paris FC | 69c | 26.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…fff2backed Paris FC | 65c | 21.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Paris FC | 78c | 17.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Paris FC | 72c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Paris FC | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.