TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No17c25,000$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes68c16,638$11,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,371.164,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes29c8,204$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,861.5812236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No73c6,035$4,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,405.659450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c5,281$3,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,745.871,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c4,947$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.8390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c3,970$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.8330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c3,208$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.782,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No73c3,112$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.468041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c3,100$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22215516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes17c2,777$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.6519662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes14c2,500$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.13327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes12c2,335$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.1713969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes26c1,719$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.977241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7652…c6c5backed Yes40c1,636$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No71c1,453$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.3910245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c1,287$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2193,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes29c1,154$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.6811333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes29c1,072$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.1226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70010437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No71c996.61$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.5916740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes27c970.37$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.3713263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c916.3$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2425872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No39c788.78$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0910629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes13c715.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.384452.3%23 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+105.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c700$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked No79c696.45$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.612462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.663040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No71c675.97$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.187851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c648$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.1327854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No24c640.89$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No72c552.99$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1223452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes12c500$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44011566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No72c499.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.993650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No8c425.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.191668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked No71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes13c395.69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.255050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No32c388.42$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1129946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No6c353.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes30c335.6$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.337635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No41c324.23$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4312744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No24c302.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes29c300$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21423947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked No79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No16c299.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4726641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No9c274.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.053040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes13c263.77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.488867%59 W · 29 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19514647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes26c217.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.648751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15de…9e12backed Yes23c217.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.593961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Yes29c210$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.17844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Yes14c196.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.211060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed No75c195.55$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.12958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1347…bc3dbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+116%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed Yes31c162.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.264465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c30…7320backed Yes27c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No34c136.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8716838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No74c135.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Yes13c131.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+451.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked No77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes27c126$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes11c105.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.781,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes72c103$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.723246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2512…9030backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…4cc5backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7125551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731573.3%11 W · 4 L+5.4wins+0.36per pick38cpaid+117.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes26c99.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.997236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No71c99.96$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8315049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes27c99.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.756440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c83.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…e93bbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2078…8772backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes27c73.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.566033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b8…1417backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4312936.4%47 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes21c70$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.36126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes28c69.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8849447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e2…d2f3backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.972927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5429.5%4 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No20c61.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.444461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes26c55.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.385129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd59a…739dbacked Yes29c53.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf237…6337backed Yes23c51.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes29c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6320353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes29c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6330956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes29c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.635558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.