Fifa International · resolved market
San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x233c350d0fc7e3955da085b5d55d86c09094e689e6122a4ce824cd6458fae808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 32c | 894.49$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.4 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 31c | 862$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.22 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 69c | 841.64$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.91 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 787.37$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.85 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 31c | 526.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 31c | 403.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 270.57$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 211.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 202$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 34c | 200.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 188.8$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 70c | 169.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 62c | 159.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 26c | 157.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 153.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Under | 73c | 135.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 52c | 133.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 60c | 124.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 72c | 98.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 73c | 98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 72c | 90.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 71c | 85.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 83.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 29c | 74.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 74.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 55c | 72.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 69c | 63.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 40c | 57.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 30c | 57.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Over | 56c | 53.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 38c | 50.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 59c | 50.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 48.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…83e4backed Over | 38c | 39.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 51c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 71c | 35.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 71c | 32.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 111 | 67.6%75 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 74c | 30.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 72c | 23.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 68c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Over | 71c | 18.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…6be6backed Over | 67c | 16.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 3.5this page
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Faroe Islands (-1.5)San Marino won
- Spread: Faroe Islands (-2.5)San Marino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.