Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Faroe Islands (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43b822c0393c83acb6be3ae2985ec673c5ab8d19883bf769a06b9f2e46183ccc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Marinoof Faroe Islands, San Marino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed San Marino | 6c | 1,122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.5 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Marino | 46c | 835.79$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.86 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed San Marino | 44c | 443.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Faroe Islands | 55c | 399.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Faroe Islands | 53c | 357.32$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Faroe Islands | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Faroe Islands | 56c | 211.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked San Marino | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Marino | 45c | 186.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed Faroe Islands | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Marino | 58c | 160.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked San Marino | 48c | 142.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Faroe Islands | 57c | 115.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed San Marino | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked San Marino | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Faroe Islands | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Faroe Islands | 55c | 97.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Faroe Islands | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Faroe Islands | 54c | 81.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed San Marino | 48c | 78.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Faroe Islands | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Faroe Islands | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…6d2bbacked San Marino | 47c | 64.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Faroe Islands | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed San Marino | 45c | 50.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Faroe Islands | 53c | 41.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked San Marino | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Faroe Islands | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Marino | 50c | 32.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e1…b227backed San Marino | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Faroe Islands | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked San Marino | 48c | 28.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a51…c312backed Faroe Islands | 52c | 28.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed San Marino | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…3fafbacked Faroe Islands | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Marino | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Faroe Islands | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Faroe Islands (-1.5)this page
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Faroe Islands (-2.5)San Marino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.