Fifa International · resolved market
San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb843bed46e32af5e5cd4402f09f260e5ea9bae37f7fc50ed2b5c0a29d9309a2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed Over | 77c | 9,950$7,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 23c | 6,518$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.88 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Under | 23c | 2,850$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.5 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Under | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 809$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 76c | 660$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 23c | 443.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 75c | 398.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 386.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 369.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 228.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 23c | 220.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 197.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 188.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 15c | 188.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 151.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Under | 15c | 66.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 75c | 52.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 77c | 51.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 34c | 46.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe43a…3de9backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 111 | 74.8%83 W · 28 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 78c | 14.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 78c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 1.5this page
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Faroe Islands (-1.5)San Marino won
- Spread: Faroe Islands (-2.5)San Marino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.