Fifa International · resolved market
San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a3fd0a91e6215b5ba022f565d0e52189585bfc3bdf348135bd0116be470c53f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 54c | 1,027$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 854.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 46c | 813.14$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.56 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 745.51$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.44 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 736.22$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.63 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 573.71$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.21 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 565.08$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.16 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 46c | 537.74$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.91 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 52c | 500$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…4425backed Over | 54c | 477.78$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 411.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 358.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.56 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 317.04$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 31c | 310$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 296.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 74c | 222.57$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Over | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 206.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…bca7backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over | 52c | 190.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 52c | 190.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over | 53c | 190.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 158.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 35c | 144.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 138.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Over | 78c | 128.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 55c | 104.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 52c | 99.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 54c | 98.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 51c | 97.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 49c | 82.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…9f76backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 56c | 74.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 64.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 47c | 62.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 61c | 55.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 47c | 54.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 57c | 52.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 49c | 51.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 53c | 42.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 64c | 42.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 79c | 41.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 40.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5334…a9a6backed Over | 67c | 29.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Over | 65c | 29.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed Over | 54c | 27.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 53c | 26.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 53c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 77c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5this page
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Faroe Islands (-1.5)San Marino won
- Spread: Faroe Islands (-2.5)San Marino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.