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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c36,475$18,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,931.693,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…62b4backed Yes46c21,590$9,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,950.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c2,735$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.992050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes51c2,308$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes51c1,510$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.241346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c1,162$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.252,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes53c1,131$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5981040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No45c1,091$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.3738247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.991428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Yes50c977.61$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes55c836.96$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.33911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.43per pick54cpaid-77.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes54c735.02$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c657.75$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.7277141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Yes56c657$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.641877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes50c605.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes40c502.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No46c494.95$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.274250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x075a…fb98backed Yes53c481.13$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c44…a1aabacked Yes49c448.08$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.98119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick30cpaid-84.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No53c405.43$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.552142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017647.7%84 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027537.1%102 W · 173 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes18c360$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.82920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes56c358.73$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8911449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Yes48c349.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes53c292.45$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes52c290$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.83259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Yes49c242.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.222860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes54c214.69$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.997135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009338.7%36 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61a…fc78backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes53c186.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes54c185.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8882…38eabacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd797…6992backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31d…94aebacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5752…1a39backed Yes61c167.21$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No44c158.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6136136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No59c141.49$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2570639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes56c135.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…6865backed Yes53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed No58c130.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.42875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8938…b490backed Yes51c126.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+68.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes25c124.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes54c120.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No51c113.17$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.852,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes52c113$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.744425%11 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No47c106.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2114963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed No48c102.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes52c100.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes22c100.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c9…c519backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…568abacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14d9…7ebdbacked Yes54c93.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c1…cd85backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-74.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes53c92.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…084dbacked No49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes56c81.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.341450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed Yes51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1034…7cf5backed Yes54c76.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes15c75.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Yes54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a93…36babacked Yes54c72.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e35…159ebacked No49c71.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.85547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc326…a3e3backed Yes55c65.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb616…cfe3backed Yes54c62.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7491…2a97backed No67c62.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.751127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Yes55c62.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x462a…45f0backed Yes53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No52c55.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.777055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes54c55.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026747.2%126 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No50c55.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5638753%205 W · 182 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Yes54c55.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes51c52.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes52c51.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.721127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe44…74ffbacked Yes53c50.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes53c50.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.754339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.