Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a603b913c5047ff00090f4124c2d8aecaabd3a16d2699841fb34c41224ac0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottingham Forest FCof Fenerbahçe SK, Nottingham Forest FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Fenerbahçe SK | 18c | 6,150$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Fenerbahçe SK | 21c | 2,429$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Fenerbahçe SK | 18c | 2,365$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.37 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Fenerbahçe SK | 16c | 1,249$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 1,115$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…a64fbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 10c | 985.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Fenerbahçe SK | 17c | 735$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 19c | 730.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Fenerbahçe SK | 20c | 499.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Nottingham Forest FC | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Fenerbahçe SK | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 10c | 249.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 21c | 200.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Fenerbahçe SK | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 20c | 141.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Fenerbahçe SK | 19c | 106.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Fenerbahçe SK | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Fenerbahçe SK | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Fenerbahçe SK | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…db3dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…54fcbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 21c | 72.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.