Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19456e37f03e83b100f818c18650126e8328d988c0c3f4741c26ad51860a2a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 32c | 18,374$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,573.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 29cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 8,474$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.11 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 5,441$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.43 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 31c | 4,987$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.43 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 4,411$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.47 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 4,044$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.39 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 30c | 3,909$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.32 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed No | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 70c | 2,856$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 1,238$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.84 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 1,197$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.15 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked No | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 634$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 27c | 599.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 12c | 580.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 501$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.64 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Yes | 24c | 400$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 368.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 20c | 342.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 15c | 333.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 24c | 270.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 71c | 242.25$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 31c | 203.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…3189backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 193$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.53 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed No | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Yes | 35c | 134.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 16c | 123.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked No | 70c | 112.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 23c | 108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes | 31c | 98.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 98.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 31c | 95.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 32c | 87.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…f531backed Yes | 32c | 76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 25c | 73.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 69c | 73.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd63…64d9backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 31c | 46.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 31c | 34.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 31c | 34.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed No | 71c | 30.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked No | 71c | 29.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…7333backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…c2b4backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 17.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed No | 70c | 17.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Yes | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-26?this page
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-26?No won
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.