Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0886451e8360712ce1a15973d05627805f0d6d289856b856be828a3070d3c7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,657$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.59 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 771.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 750.27$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.53 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa41…f05dbacked Yes | 26c | 723.62$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 544.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 535.41$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.21 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 461.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 20c | 426.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 57c | 348.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 317$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 39c | 220.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…92e7backed Yes | 18c | 220$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 14c | 209.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 17c | 181.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 179$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 54c | 171.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 12c | 166.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 146.1$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 46c | 124.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 24c | 120.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 101.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…bdaebacked Yes | 39c | 101.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 26c | 89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 16c | 79.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 24c | 58.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 24c | 50.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 46.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 37.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-26?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.