Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaea30564954c295ec05a32ddad4c61f8ffda781067b3e7dd26c10b576c53933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof Contra, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Contra | 11c | 683.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LYON | 65c | 620.48$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.27 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LYON | 65c | 588.14$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed LYON | 58c | 404.44$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Contra | 15c | 371.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Contra | 22c | 285.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Contra | 33c | 275$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LYON | 72c | 217.19$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Contra | 15c | 187.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Contra | 21c | 184$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Contra | 32c | 165.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LYON | 68c | 152.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked LYON | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Contra | 38c | 130.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…b4a2backed LYON | 72c | 112$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Contra | 39c | 90.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Contra | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked LYON | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Contra | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Contra | 42c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Contra | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Contra | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed LYON | 53c | 50.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Contra | 24c | 49.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Contra | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Contra | 43c | 32.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Contra | 38c | 31.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Contra | 40c | 31.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 206 | 39.8%82 W · 124 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed LYON | 48c | 25.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked LYON | 62c | 18.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…c7b1backed Contra | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked LYON | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular SeasonLYON won
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.