Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9555b4f68b173a9c0ea2db6e820e09cc7c7f6255a897f70866618c41d46af9db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Tundra Esports, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,568 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1776…e557backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 30,018$18,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,723.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 29,633$7,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,766.25 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 27,382$16,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,853.89 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 16,219$6,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,681.63 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 13,425$6,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,868.85 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 8,565$6,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,362.09 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 7,047$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,584.02 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 5,648$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.16 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Yakult Brothers | 56c | 4,434$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.85 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 3,744$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.7 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 3,510$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.06 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Yakult Brothers | 6c | 3,233$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.82 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 3,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 2,991$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.61 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 2,978$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.78 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Tundra Esports | 1c | 2,821$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +594.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yakult Brothers | 24c | 2,667$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.89 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 2,300$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.61 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 2,300$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.19 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 2,120$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.45 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 2,058$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.24 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 1,935$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.74 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…0468backed Yakult Brothers | 80c | 1,895$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,878$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.21 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 1,718$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.72 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 1,694$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.85 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 1,666$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.46 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 1,608$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.79 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 1,596$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.85 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 1,580$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 1,499$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.41 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yakult Brothers | 12c | 1,462$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.44 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 1,440$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.81 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,291$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.93 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 1,174$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.82 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,106$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.59 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 1,074$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.6 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Yakult Brothers | 78c | 1,049$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.05 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 1,017$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.86 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 1,015$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.96 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 962.43$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.69 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 961.59$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.68 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 939.42$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.55 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yakult Brothers | 18c | 909.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.15 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 907.67$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.29 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Yakult Brothers | 11c | 900$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 867.19$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.67 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 860.55$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 826.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.13 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 771.96$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.24 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 754.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.02 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 752.26$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.56 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 720.14$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.22 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 712$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.48 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 706.36$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.06 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yakult Brothers | 18c | 699.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.98 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6fe4backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 695.35$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yakult Brothers | 15c | 664.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.95 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 642.67$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.67 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yakult Brothers | 14c | 632.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.76 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 618.68$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.66 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Yakult Brothers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 563.51$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.66 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 559.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.19 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 557.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 545.41$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yakult Brothers | 18c | 500$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.74 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 460$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 454.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.54 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 450.54$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.42 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 443.95$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.69 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Yakult Brothers | 17c | 442.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.36 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Yakult Brothers | 70c | 433$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 416$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 412.49$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 403.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.58 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 399.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.64 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked Yakult Brothers | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Yakult Brothers | 72c | 374.49$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 359.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 334.06$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.71 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 327.42$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 314.32$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.77 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 306.13$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 303.95$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…020dbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yakult Brothers | 4c | 293.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.09 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 287.94$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 287.89$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 285.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.62 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 283.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 275.02$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.78 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 274.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Yakult Brothers | 18c | 274.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 269$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 246.66$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.