NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x757f7343f712e181488d757032a5fc82536faa51c1cf28551cea32368dfc7e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,664 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 57c | 16,354$9,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,306.92 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 46c | 6,020$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.82 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 44c | 5,555$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.02 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 4,674$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.9 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 4,642$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.93 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 42c | 4,307$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.84 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 46c | 3,276$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 57c | 2,400$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.66 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…c442backed Under | 44c | 2,293$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 57c | 2,191$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.87 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 1,331$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.92 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 54c | 1,065$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.92 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff6…f616backed Over | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…6b27backed Over | 55c | 850$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 44c | 780.32$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.98 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Under | 45c | 728$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 45c | 575$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.25 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 45c | 533.16$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.16 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 518.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 53c | 407.59$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.02 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Over | 64c | 389.22$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 39c | 384.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.83 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 47c | 326.25$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.54 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 321.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 289.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 54c | 233.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 43c | 232.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 56c | 232$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…c8aabacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Under | 43c | 217$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 57c | 211.85$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…681ebacked Under | 56c | 163.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 145.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 138.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 71c | 129.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…274bbacked Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 113.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 43c | 105.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 57c | 105.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 89.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 32c | 81.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 39c | 64.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 34c | 58.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 55c | 51.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 56c | 48.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 55c | 42.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…fffdbacked Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 55c | 36.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 56c | 35.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…0fd3backed Under | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 43c | 32.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Over | 56c | 32.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 29.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 53c | 27.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked Over | 56c | 26.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 76c | 20.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 19.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 62c | 17.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. OilersOilers won
- Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.