NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c83c5816a87c86ceb8e0e24d19e88c51d44c47258d94e2fd699bf5d0fb71ad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,296 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 35c | 6,273$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.55 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…69c5backed Under | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed63…11d5backed Under | 67c | 910$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 37c | 397.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.51 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 65c | 365.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 64c | 282.36$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 36c | 278.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 36c | 207.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 65c | 144.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 135.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…6e70backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 35c | 64.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 69c | 45.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 45.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 34c | 44.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fdc8backed Under | 64c | 33.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 30.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e42…fc2dbacked Under | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5this page
- Predators vs. OilersOilers won
- Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.