TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Predators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,669 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Oilers41c17,073$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,073.176147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Predators59c13,182$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,777.1451550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Predators59c12,500$7,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,37551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Oilers41c9,336$3,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,508.245639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators59c8,081$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,767.331,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Oilers41c6,630$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.718641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Oilers41c3,340$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.65230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators59c3,333$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.4791945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Oilers41c1,775$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.9610146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Oilers41c1,669$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.873333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Predators59c1,620$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.0891653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Predators59c1,392$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.2836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Predators59c937$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.8384953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Oilers41c784.29$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.7313147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c0…e8d1backed Oilers42c763.37$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.872138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Predators60c700$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42039649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oilers40c697.29$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.332,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oilers72c615$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.372,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Predators60c491.67$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29510643.4%46 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Oilers40c438$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7186852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Oilers46c401.06$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2440340.9%165 W · 238 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Predators49c370.95$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8230348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Oilers50c301.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.185044%22 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Oilers41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17727049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58fb…1f65backed Oilers59c293.12$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.976640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Predators59c251.24$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.231,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966d…eaa5backed Predators60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012254.1%66 W · 56 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee1…c8aabacked Oilers41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…9ae9backed Oilers41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.96645.5%30 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Oilers40c226$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.636648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Predators48c200.31$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.62,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Predators59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Predators60c166.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.57363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Oilers40c165.04$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.022729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7810…b011backed Oilers42c162.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.244346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Predators60c133.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Predators59c125.86$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2642948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Predators52c125.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.441,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…8b04backed Oilers40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7520046%92 W · 108 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75c…e826backed Oilers41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Predators60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017759.9%106 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Predators60c113.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6821560.9%131 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Predators59c99.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9626657.9%154 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Predators59c97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2317750.8%90 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Predators60c94.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.929448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Predators60c85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5154260.3%327 W · 215 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Oilers57c78.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2841650.7%211 W · 205 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Oilers41c73.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.786642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers60c73.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.993,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Predators60c69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.461953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers52c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.681,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Predators59c65.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5219651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Oilers47c61.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.571,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oilers49c59.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2174054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Oilers40c58.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3538147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Predators41c58.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.151315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-75.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Predators61c57.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Predators39c57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.231,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Predators53c55.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.021,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Predators39c53.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.921,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Predators60c50.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0112335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Oilers58c50.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8933363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Oilers41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7854049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Oilers41c44.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0460741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Oilers53c41.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3972448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Oilers41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.650251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Oilers56c37.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5812547.2%59 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd827…fe79backed Oilers41c36.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1510438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Predators60c35.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.396144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Predators60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2169061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Predators37c33.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.326758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…5dd5backed Predators61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Oilers42c32.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.814944.3%66 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Oilers41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Predators60c26.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1633660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Predators39c26.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Oilers42c25.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6951343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e4…4bc7backed Predators60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Predators59c24.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3916955.6%94 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Predators60c23.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1436561.9%226 W · 139 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Predators50c21.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6714963.8%95 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Predators59c16.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014743.5%64 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.