CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e044903b2a737294fd717d624d21af1f40792e1c95fd9973f1853c803c13570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atrix Esportsof Atrix Esports, shimmer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked shimmer | 70c | 4,437$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.9 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Atrix Esports | 53c | 2,378$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.43 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atrix Esports | 28c | 916.06$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.82 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Atrix Esports | 32c | 771.28$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.27 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Atrix Esports | 59c | 736.16$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed shimmer | 60c | 505.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.72 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked shimmer | 49c | 458.46$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked shimmer | 47c | 351$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Atrix Esports | 32c | 347.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Atrix Esports | 35c | 341.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.9 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atrix Esports | 28c | 319.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.59 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Atrix Esports | 34c | 291.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked shimmer | 44c | 273.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Atrix Esports | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Atrix Esports | 55c | 225.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Atrix Esports | 56c | 220.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed shimmer | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed shimmer | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked shimmer | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked shimmer | 36c | 199.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Atrix Esports | 27c | 186.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Atrix Esports | 77c | 172.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Atrix Esports | 41c | 131.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Atrix Esports | 57c | 126$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Atrix Esports | 40c | 115$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 284 | 40.5%115 W · 169 L | -17.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed shimmer | 46c | 108.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed shimmer | 54c | 104$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Atrix Esports | 55c | 103.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked shimmer | 52c | 101.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed shimmer | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed shimmer | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked shimmer | 71c | 99.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed shimmer | 42c | 99.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Atrix Esports | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Atrix Esports | 54c | 97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Atrix Esports | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Atrix Esports | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Atrix Esports | 49c | 72.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed shimmer | 48c | 57.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atrix Esports | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked shimmer | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked shimmer | 55c | 42.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed shimmer | 79c | 41.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed shimmer | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked shimmer | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atrix Esports | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Atrix Esports | 54c | 31.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…ea1ebacked shimmer | 48c | 25.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked shimmer | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked shimmer | 62c | 17.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…dd82backed Atrix Esports | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked shimmer | 63c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 268 | 54.5%146 W · 122 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff84…0733backed shimmer | 74c | 13.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffsshimmer won
- Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 2 Winnershimmer won
- Map Handicap: ATRIX (-1.5) vs shimmer (+1.5)shimmer won
- Map Handicap: SHIM (-1.5) vs Atrix Esports (+1.5)Atrix Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.